According to the Santa Rosa County School District, schools in Santa Rosa County will be in normal session tomorrow, Oct. 18. All after school activities for Friday are cancelled. The Navarre Raiders football game scheduled to take place in Tallahassee tomorrow night has been rescheduled for Monday night. For now, school events scheduled for Saturday, Oct. 19, will continue as scheduled.
The timing of the system has sped up considerably and we are now looking at primarily a Friday/Friday night event with conditions improving Saturday morning.
Rain and wind will gradually increase Friday through Friday night, with conditions improving Saturday morning. The quick movement of the storm will greatly limit flooding potential.
This will be primarily a coastal event south of I-10 (greatest potential of seeing minimal tropical storm force sustained winds/frequent gusts is along the immediate coast).
Minor coastal flooding is possible in typically flood prone areas along immediate coast.
Sand for sandbags will be available in the usual locations later today:
- Pine Forest Road and Carroll Street in Milton
- Pace Fire Rescue District in Pace
- Leisure Street in Navarre
- Tiger Point Park in Gulf Breeze
The National Hurricane Center has issued new advisories on the potential tropical disturbance 16. A disturbance over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is expected to develop into a tropical or subtropical storm later today or tonight.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Ochlockonee River, Florida.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Grand Isle, Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River.
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect east of the Ochlockonee River to Yankeetown, Florida.
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Indian Pass, Florida, to Clearwater, Florida.
At 10 a.m. the disturbance was centered near latitude 22.4 North, longitude 95.7 West. The system is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected this afternoon or tonight, and a northeastward motion
at a faster forward speed is expected on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the system will approach the northern Gulf
coast Friday and Friday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The disturbance is expected to develop into a tropical or
subtropical storm later today or tonight, with slow strengthening
then expected through Friday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).